
After a truly terrible past few days, the severe weather and tornado threat continues over the Southeast this evening with several spots under a tornado watch and warning as of this writing over parts of Georgia into the Carolinas. A fresh concern with this massive storm system is flooding rains up the East Coast through the next 48 hours as the bulk of the energy and front pushes into the highly populated Eastern coastal plain.
Here’s projected rainfall through just the next 48 hours.
According to latest reports, as many as 34 are now dead in the wake of this outbreak so far and we still have tonight and tomorrow to get through.
Severe weather reports: 27th
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28th
Here’s a new graphic produced by the NWS showing preliminary tornado tracks and fatalities.

Source: NOAA
This evening and overnight will continue to see a significant severe threat with ongoing tornado watches and warnings from Georgia through parts of the Carolinas.
Here’s today’s severe/tornado risk areas issued by the SPC.
Tomorrow sees the threat push up into the Richmond, DC-Baltimore areas with dew points soaring to near 70 while dynamics including strong low level jet shifting east for potential tornado production. We could well see a moderate risk issued tomorrow from NC up towards DC.
Surface chart for early Thursday morning off the ECMWF shows storms and a lot of rain riding up the coastal plain.

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro
The highest CAPE will be focused on the Carolinas up into Virginia tomorrow afternoon into the evening.

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro
By 54 hrs or later Thursday, the bulk of the energy including heavy rains has shifted offshore.

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro
Thankfully, things settle down Thursday into the weekend with heat rebuilding Out West.
Check out that ridge up the West Coast Thursday.

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro
Here’s the 500mb Saturday showing the trough in the east, ridge in the West and upper energy bringing some storms to Texas.

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro
Here’s Monday of next week, much better!

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro
GFS ensembles show troughiness ruling 2 thirds of the country through the next 7 days then a reversal following 7 with western trough, eastern ridge.

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro
Be sure to check out the video.
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