US ‘Winter’ Pattern Shows No Sign Of Letting Up, MORE Snow For Plains & East!

Written by on March 29, 2014 in United States of America with 0 Comments

The pattern may be less severe than it’s been but heck, it’s March 28 for goodness sakes… and the fact we’re still talking snowfall and chill with no real end in sight and pretty unbelievable.

Check out the ECMWF snow chart through just the next 48 hours.

Yes, we have MORE snow coming to the Ohio Valley and interior Northeast as a system pushes up through the Mid-Atlantic with enough dynamic cooling and wrap around chill to support.

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

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Quite the soaker for the Major Cities.

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

GFS also sees the weekend snow. Notice it’s trying to make it snow once again in DC on the backside.

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

The next system looks to drop a decent snow over the Northern Plains early next week.

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

Here’s that system late weekend into the start of next week which puts down a good 6-12 inches through the Dakotas.

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

That’s quickly followed by another mid to late week and that may not only bring additional snow to the Northern Plains but could bring more snow to the interior East.

You can see it in the 7 day ECMWF snow chart.

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

Surface chart shows the storm next Thursday. Could be a fairly significant snow producer in the East as well as NP.

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

Looking out through the next 10 days, it’s looking colder than normal for much of the nation. No surprise there.

814temp_new

Precip will be heaviest in the East next 6-10 days with active SW to interior NE storm track.

610prcp_new

It amazes me that we’re nearly at April and the Great Lakes still has ice cover that would be considered WAY ABOVE NORMAL even in January… Nearly 74% of the entire Great Lakes is frozen.

glsea_cur

Still 91% of Superior’s Surface Covered By Ice!

Considering that we’re close to April, 91% ice cover on the largest of the Lakes is remarkable.

sicecon-00

I know I keep showing you this but, want to show you the lack of any real warmth in this still winter pattern! We’ll see milder air cross the country but no real spring warmth on the horizon. According to the CFSv2, it still has solid below normal from the Plains eastwards through the END OF APRIL!

wk1_wk2_20140327_NAsfcT

wk3_wk4_20140327_NAsfcT

El Nino Update

Here’s the latest CFSv2 temperature forecast for the Nino 3.4 region.

nino34Mon

Notice the ‘brief’ spike into weak El Nino territory but it quickly drops. What could that mean? I recon it’s ‘seeing’ the quick warming up against the South American coast and then that warm water quickly shifts westwards into the central Pacific.

While this may have negative influence on the hurricane season this year, DO NOT be fooled. the amount of warm water over the western Atlantic into the Caribbean and Gulf concerns me. Despite a westerlies blowing from Pacific to Atlantic in Nino years, these winds have a tendency to slacken periodically and with that water just going to heat up and remain well above normal. In close tropical trouble is expected. Back in 1992, we’ve all heard of a certain storm called, Andrew! That was in a very quiet year. First storm and in a Nino year believe it or not.

By taking those warm waters westwards for into the fall season. This will have COLD, not warm influence on next winter. We get more ‘modoki’ style Ninos during cold PDO years.

The model is seeing that westward shift.

June through August SST’s.

glbSSTSeaInd3

September through November

glbSSTSeaInd6

Had hoped to get a video up today but have been struggling for time. Promise to get one up Saturday!!

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