Europe Pattern Next 10 Days: Low Pressure In West, High Pressure East

Written by on February 19, 2014 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments

Granted the pattern is not looking anywhere near as extreme as what we’ve seen in recent weeks, there is unfortunately NO END IN SIGHT to this Atlantic driven pattern over the West of Europe. Head across the mainland however and high pressure is building and locks set to provide a rather benign setup. It’s looking milder than normal throughout Europe in the upcoming 7-10 days.

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With that high building to the east of the UK and the continued stream of moisture pushing in from the Atlantic, that means plenty more rain on the horizon starting tonight right across Ireland and the UK. Winds freshen too and it’s thanks to a very different setup compared to last week.

Last week saw deep lows push in from the southwest whereas now we have lows nearer Iceland that will spread wind and rain across our shores via their associated frontal systems. Wind and rain tonight will be followed by blustery showers tomorrow, then comes the next system Sunday, that too will be followed by cool, blustery showers.

The issue particularly into next week will be the slowing down of these fronts on approach to Ireland and the UK thanks to the blocking high over the continent. Southerly winds and rain could be a fairly long lived affair next week as fronts struggle to progress east over us and so don’t be surprised if much of next week is¬†rather gloomy, damp and mild.

Northern France up through Belgium, Netherlands into Denmark appears to be in the battle zone between high and low pressure and so some days should be sunny while others in cloudy, wet and windy.

Here’s the ECMWF surface charts through the next 10 days

24.

Source: AccuWeather Pro

Source: AccuWeather Pro

72

Source: AccuWeather Pro

Source: AccuWeather Pro

114

Source: AccuWeather Pro

Source: AccuWeather Pro

144

Source: AccuWeather Pro

Source: AccuWeather Pro

168

Source: AccuWeather Pro

Source: AccuWeather Pro

QPF Rainfall next 7 days

Source: AccuWeather Pro

Source: AccuWeather Pro

Source: AccuWeather Pro

Source: AccuWeather Pro

Next 10 days!

Source: AccuWeather Pro

Source: AccuWeather Pro

Source: AccuWeather Pro

Source: AccuWeather Pro

Here’s the CFSv2 temperature and precipitation charts for March and April as shown in yesterday’s video. Little change next month compared to what we’ve been seeing unfortunately. Perhaps a touch drier in April.

euT2mMonInd1

March Precip

euPrecMonInd1

Looking like March is going to be another wet month, particularly over western Scotland.

April temps

euT2mMonInd2

April precip

euPrecMonInd2

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