The ECMWF has not backed away from a potentially troublesome weather scenario for both Iceland and the UK late this weekend into early next week. The latest model run shows the deepest low yet and this may cause problems for power company’s on Iceland.
The latest run takes a deepening low in between Iceland and Scotland and deepens the centre to 968mb with a tightly wound circulation which suggests gale to hurricane-force conditions throughout Iceland and possibly down across the Northern UK by Sunday into early next week.
Here’s the 120 hr surface/precip chart.
Courtesy/Owned By AccuWeather Pro
By 138 hrs the storm is positioned east of Iceland and north of Scotland bringing tremendous winds to Iceland and with 850mb temps in the -5 to -10C range, precipitation is likely to fall as SNOW above 500-800ft.
Heavy rain and cold NW gales (hurricane-force over the ridges) would likely batter much of Scotland with gusts to 60-70mph on exposed coasts.
Courtesy/Owned By AccuWeather Pro
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The 500mb chart at 138 shows tremendous upper support and vorticity.
Courtesy/Owned By AccuWeather Pro
The upper low is positioned over the UK by Monday and supports some cold days and even frost by night if winds turn light beneath the centre of the low. Highs across Scotland may have a tough time reaching 8-10C, perhaps 12-14C in southern England by Monday or Tuesday.
Here’s the 850 temps.
Courtesy/Owned By AccuWeather Pro
By 186 hrs the beast which pops up this weekend, whistles off the chart and this opens the door for the remnants of Gabrielle to arrive from Canada. It’s seen clipping eastern Newfoundland next Tuesday.
Courtesy/Owned By AccuWeather Pro
By 210 it’s over Iceland and potentially bringing yet another rain and wind bearing front down over the UK and Ireland.
Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro
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