Major Rains Take Aim At France, Low Countries, Denmark, Scandinavia Wed-Thu!

Written by on August 5, 2013 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments

The widespread UK rains of today are finally clearing out into the North Sea this evening en-route towards Denmark and Scandinavia where a wet few days are ahead. The UK will enter into a more sunshine and showers regime over the next few days while out across Central Europe down into the Mediterranean, heat is the big story and will remain a headline grabber through the rest of this week.

Ahead of the band of wet weather still over the UK, it was another very warm day with a ridge pumping heat north from Spain. Highs today managed to get into the mid and upper 20s throughout the Low Countries but it was cooler further north with cloud and rain.

The front which pushed through the UK Friday is now bringing unsettled weather to parts of western and central Europe but really this boundary is weakening with hot air surrounding it.

While one system exits the UK and heads up into Scandinavia it’s all eyes of the next system coming of the conveyor. I’m watching closely a rather innocuous feature which is seen by the ECMWF to track south of the UK and while sunshine and showers dominate the British Isles and Ireland, it’s as this system pushes into northern France and interacts with another frontal system where we could see a potential widespread flood situation unfold. This is something I alluded to yesterday and the model continues to suggest a troublesome scenario.

Here’s today’s troublesome rains crossing the North Sea tomorrow.

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

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Next system drops Wednesday but tracks south of Ireland and the UK.

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

 

During Wednesday the Atlantic system hooks up with a frontal system already bringing heavy, thundery rains across France.

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

Here’s late Wednesday.

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

Here’s a close-up at 72 hours or early Thursday. While the UK stays fine and mainly dry, heavy, flooding rains will impact Belgium and the Netherlands. This area of rain will push north across Denmark where flooding may also occur en-route to Norway and Sweden.

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

By later Thursday the focus of heavy rain is up across southern Sweden. Cast your eyes to the WNW of the UK at this stage. The elongated NW to SE oriented trough with lwo west of Iceland will be the UK’s next rainmaker Friday into Saturday.

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

Once the Friday system is through we should see temporary clearing before the next soaker quickly follows Sunday!

Meanwhile, further east and south through this week and temperatures even on the Islands dotted across the western and central Mediterranean will push 32 to 36C each day but inland sections of countries surrounding the basin will see 38C+ which will be dangerous. Overnight lows could also be very oppressive and if you’ve no AC in your hotel, it will be stifling with lows struggling to get much below 26 or 27C.

Latest ECMWF upper chart.

Tue 6

Geopotential3250032hPa32and32Temperature32at3285032hPa_Europe_24

Thu 8

Geopotential3250032hPa32and32Temperature32at3285032hPa_Europe_72

Sat 10

Geopotential3250032hPa32and32Temperature32at3285032hPa_Europe_120

Mon 12

Geopotential3250032hPa32and32Temperature32at3285032hPa_Europe_168

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