Archive for June, 2013
Both ECMWF and GFS are in agreement that the mean ridge position is largely over western Europe including the UK and Ireland through the remainder of June and into early July. There will however be a few glancing blows with deep lows passing not too far to our north. That means spells of rain and an increase […]
All week long I having been keeping an eye on the ECWMF and the major ridge it’s continuously shown build over the Western United States from mid to late next week. The only change I see is that it’s strengthening further with each run. While heights really go to town from the Southwest to eventually Montana up into Canada with a sprawling 596dc high centred […]
Models remain consistent in bringing high pressure back across Ireland and the British Isles on Monday in the wake of this weekend’s unusually deep, sub-988mb low. That low has brought plentiful showers (some thundery) across Northern Ireland, Scotland and northern England, accompanied by blustery conditions today. Tomorrow winds veer NW as the low pushes into the North Sea. Winds will be […]
All week it’s been made clear that our approaching wet, windy and cool weather this weekend will be short lived, a mere blip in a more dominant settled, mild or warm pattern. The NAO is a great long range indicator this season thanks to the right soil moisture content and a neutral ENSO. This signal has allowed me to forecast, […]
[s2Stream player=”jwplayer-v6-rtmp” player_path=”/jwplayer/jwplayer.js” file_download=”VID210613.mp4″ player_width=”640″ player_height=”480″ player_key=”7dA7m05wsepGN0qTGnxA7CFT7sgLuKxncIU/4g==” player_option_blocks=”logo:{file:’http://www.markvoganweather.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/05/jwplayer_logo.png’,link:’http://www.markvoganweather.com’}” /] Next week is looking good with high pressure dominating.
Scotland Enjoy the beautiful sunshine to end the day as wet and windy weather is approaching western shores. The wet and windy weather is associated with a low pressure system which is set to dominate the weather this weekend and will present ‘typical soggy conditions for the Royal Highland Show at Ingliston. Lows tonight, no lower than 10-13C, winds fresh […]
Quick look at the ECMWF upper pattern for the next 10 days and you know it’s about to get warm and humid again over the Northeast while a spell of very hot air spreads northeast into the Lower Midwest this weekend with a potential ‘peaking’ of the heat Sunday or Monday with potential mid-90s for Minneapolis […]
[s2Stream player=”jwplayer-v6-rtmp” player_path=”/jwplayer/jwplayer.js” file_download=”ViD210613.mp4″ player_width=”640″ player_height=”480″ player_key=”7dA7m05wsepGN0qTGnxA7CFT7sgLuKxncIU/4g==” player_option_blocks=”logo:{file:’http://www.markvoganweather.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/05/jwplayer_logo.png’,link:’http://www.markvoganweather.com’}” /] Tonight’s video looks at the ECMWF 500mb pattern across the US through the next 10 days. Major heat returns to West mid to late next week with the first 100s for Montana. Heat over Great Lakes gets replaced by major trough. Staying cool with thunderstorms over the Southeast.
While things go down hill tomorrow night as a rather vigorous Atlantic low swings a front across Ireland and the UK bringing not only unseasonable cool but wind will be unusually brisk for this late in June too. Wet weather will also accompany those strong winds of course. After a spell of wet and windy […]
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