TUES 16 OCT: UK & IRELAND REGIONAL FORECAST

Written by on October 16, 2012 in United Kingdom & Ireland with 3 Comments
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Scotland

After a rather dismal day with heavy cloud and persistent rain, skies are beginning to clear out with the sun reappearing The stubborn rain band is pulling east out into the North Sea but what’s been interesting about this setup is that as the rain band migrated north during last night, the cold air which settled in before the clouds arrived, allowed a cold enough atmosphere to support sleet to mix with rain near Beattock Summit this morning on my journey south down the M74. As I drove up the A77 on my way back to Glasgow, there was snow covering the hills on the Isle of Arran.

The chilly air mass brought down on a northerly flow, combined with the clear skies and light winds, will present the perfect environment for a widespread frost tonight. The chill is likely to hit early and during the night, any frost which forms in the South quickly disappears as the next system arrives into Dumfries and Galloway. The Central Belt should stay dry till dawn and providing the advancing clouds stay away for much of the night, lows should widely drop towards -2 or -3C.

The next batch of rain sweeps north through the Central Belt up into the Highlands and clearing through the afternoon but the main band will quickly be replaced by a rash of heavy, clustering showers while the rain clears the Central Belt during the afternoon. Due to the persistent rains particularly in the Southwest, the Met Office has issued a Yellow Warning for potential flooding.

Highs will be similar to today with only 6-9C and factor in a stiff northeast wind and it will feel rather raw. Tomorrow night could see another cold and frosty night.

Courtesy of Mark Vogan

England

Today was been a rather wet, windy and cold day throughout England with winds gusting to 50 mph or higher across parts of the Midlands up into Lanccashire, Cumbria and across the tops of the Pennines. The heavy overnight and early morning rains soon cleared out leaving a day with, frequent blustery showers. Temperatures through this afternoon has struggled to reach double digits but factoring in the wind and it felt considerably cooler.

Through tonight and after a cold start to the night across the country, a new band of rain rattles in from the southwest crossing the whole country during the overnight. As quickly as the rain band sweeps in, it will sweep on north, northeast allowing for clearing overnight across the South and Midlands and early to mid morning clearing up through Manchester, Liverpool and perhaps even Lancashore and Cumbria. The far north may see the rains linger for a time.

During the afternoon, we will see a day of sunshine and showers with a breeze blowing out of the southwest, while still no bikini weather, temperatures should be up by a few degrees from today thanks to a tame introduction of more southwest air.

Tomorrow night should see another cool night after the showers begin to die away.

Temperatures tonight cool to 7-9C in the South before the rains arrive late tonight. For the Midlands 4-6C before 1-2am cloud/rain arrives and from Manchester northwards areas, 2-5C with rural areas likely to see frost and near 0C. Sheltered spots may dip to -2 or -3C before the cloud/rain arrive 3am on.

Highs tomorrow will warm to between 8-14C with 14 or perhaps 15C in the far South, closer to 10C in Carlisle.

Wales

Wales started off the day on a somewhat wild note with widespread heavy rain driven in on a strong, gale-force NW wind with gusts along the coast topping 60 mph. Those rains cleared quickly and this afternoon saw a big improvment with sunshine and just an odd shower. Winds have been gradually easing through this afternoon and while gusty still along the immediate coast, a pleasant evening can be found across the country,

Into tonight and the next wave of precipitation sweeps up from the Celtic Sea and brings yet another batch of very wet weather. The good thing is that this will clear out quickly and should in fact be out of much of the country by early to mid tomorrow morning. Winds will be lighter and temperatures will be slightly milder given it’s SW origin.

Temperatures fall to 5-8C tonight but will rise through the night and tomorrow, after the rains clear, a mix of sunshine and showers with highs nearer 12-15C, compared to the 9-11C today.

Courtesy of Mark Vogan

Northern Ireland

Like much of the UK today, after a poor start, conditions gradually improved with decent late day sunny spells to be had throughout Ulster. During the first part of the night, skies are clear and so temperatures respond with rural frost possible before skies cloud over from the south to north during the overnight. A band of rain will sweep northeast across the country bringing a decent soaking but clearing out by early to mid morning.

Temperatures cool towards 3-5C in the towns and nearer freezing in rural areas but by dawn tempeartures should be nearer 10C. With the air coming up from the south, high will be warmer than today at between 12-14C.

Ireland

A day of sunshine and showers will be following by a night of the same. Lows tonight drop to mid single figures and should rise to 13-16C during Wednesday. Following a damp night with a chance of mist and fog developing, expect a clearing out tomorrow with sunshine appearing.

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  1. Liam says:

    Is that Ireland forecast right.?
    This is what Met Eireann say.

    Warnings

    Weather Warning

    Issued at 16 October 2012 – 17:00
    Weather warning
    A deep depression will approach from the southwest tonight and will move up through the country during Wednesday.
    A period of heavy rain is expected to move across the country overnight. There could be some intense rainfall during short periods, leading to local flooding.
    Brighter weather will develop for Wednesday, but there will be some heavy, prolonged and locally thundery showers at times too.

    Southern and eastern coastal counties will have the heaviest of the rain with accumulations of between 30 and 50mm forecast, with values possibly higher in mountainous areas.

    But coastal areas of the south and east have the added threat of coastal flooding due to a combination of spring tides, high seas, occasional onshore gales and low pressure values.

    Gale Warning

    East to southeast gales will develop overnight on Irish coastal waters from Fair Head to Mizen Head to Erris Head and on the Irish Sea. Southeast to south gales or strong gales will develop in the morning, on coasts from Fair Head to Carnsore Point to Mizen Head and on the Irish Sea.
    Issued at 16:30 on 16-Oct-2012

    Small Craft Warning

    Southeast to east winds will reach force 6 or higher tonight, on coasts from Loop Head to Erris Head to Fair Head.
    Issued at 16:00 on 16-Oct-2012

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