Mixed Bag This Weekend Across UK, Ridge Builds Later Next Week As Hurricane Kirk Falls Apart

Written by on August 31, 2012 in United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments

GFS surface/precip chart for Sunday (Courtesy of WeatherOnline)

For those in search of seeing some wild weather from Hurricane Kirk here across the British Isles and Ireland next week, well you’ll be sorely dissapointed I’m afraid as models continue to show this feature disappear off the map by day 5 as it’s absorbed within the Azores high.

Saturday-Sunday pose opposites from north to south

Saturday looks fairly decent across the Southern half of the UK following overnight mist, cloud and showers but through tomorrow it will likely be another day of mostly cloudy skies with outbreaks of rain, some of which could be heavy for Northern Ireland, Scotland and the North of England. Highs range from 15-17C in the North, 21-24C from Manchester south to London.

Sunday will likely see a brighter day in the North while more in the way of cloud with showers impact more Southern areas, temperatures will certainly be down on tomorrow’s values with only 17-19C for highs in London and the Southeast.

GFS surface/precip chart for Monday (Courtesy of WeatherOnline)

As you can see from the above GFS map, yet another low will swing it’s fronts across Northern Ireland, Scotland and the North of England during Monday bringing in more rain and increased wind with gales across the North and especially over the Western and Northern Isles.

Azores high builds into UK by mid next week

By Tuesday high pressure appears to work in from the southwest and this should introduce far more settled conditions not only for southern areas but for all of the UK from Wednesday into Thursday and with sunshine and stronger heights we should see warmer air work all the way up through Scotland also. Could see 21C in the Central Belt while parts of the Midlands down through the Southeast may see 25 or 26C.

GFS surface/precip chart for Tuesday (Courtesy of WeatherOnline)

Where’s the now, impressive Hurricane Kirk you ask? Notice the ball of blue pressing against the western side of a strong Azores high? That is what’s left of Kirk next week and by Wednesday it’s gone, this low will either fill or whatever energy is left will get transfered into the next sub-984mb beast working into Iceland.

GFS surface/precip chart for Wednesday (Courtesy of WeatherOnline)

While Kirk is off the map by next Wednesday we should see the Azores high build north up over the UK and this should allow warmer but more importantly, settled conditions. This as has been the case all summer, won’t last. It’s just a case of we better enjoy the day here and there while it lasts.

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