Scotland Turns Windier & Wet Tonight While The Warmth Builds Further South, East

Written by on July 21, 2012 in United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments

Good evening, hope your enjoying your weekend so far. Certainly been nice to see dry weather across the UK along with sunnier skies and warmer air. That warmer air will continue advancing northeastwards from the Azores over the next 2-3 days and while we can expect highs of 21-24C from Carlisle to London on Sunday, each day, we can expect to add a few degrees on from the previous day from about the Midlands on south.

How far south the front gets will determine how long the warmth in the South lasts, 30C in London looks likely!

So, by tomorrow, highs from Manchester to London should be in the range of 22-24C, by Monday from Birmingham to London 24-26C, Tuesday 25-30C and Wednesday, while it looks cooler even for Birmingham (though tough to say for sure, depending upon how far south the front gets), it should get to between 27-31C around Greater London and or Kent.

This graphic provided by the Daily Mail sums up the weather map well for Tuesday/Wednesday with north-south divide (Courtesy of Daily Mail)

Some much needed heavy rain coming to the Highlands, strong winds to accompany with gales along the coast

As for Scotland across to much of western and northern Ireland, wind and rain increases as a rather distinct cold front, associated with a deep low over Iceland pushes down from the northwest. I expect strong winds across the western and northern isles and Highlands, even along the west coast down as far as Stranraer with coastal and high elevation gales further north.

The front as it sags down over Scotland over the next 12-36 hours, we can expect some decent rains, particularly over the Highlands where rain is badly needed believe it or not.

Front stalls over south Midlands Wednesday-Thursday, uncertainly in the late week forecast

By midweek, while temperatures peak across the South of England, there is uncertainty over what the front will do. Some models have the front pushing down over the channel, this would indicate a cooldown with rain while others have the feature lingering north of London, this would have the warmth holding throughout next week and so highs could hold in the mid-20s, perhaps upper 20s Thursday and Friday.

Here’s what the current ECMWF model has for the next few days.


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