Heavy Overnight Rains Across South Give Way To Fri PM Storms!

Written by on July 13, 2012 in United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments

Hope you enjoyed the drier, brighter weather of yesterday because we’re back to reality once again this morning. In fact last night, you folks across the South of England likely saw a rather wet night. The band of rain which broght you the wet night is now positioned across north Wales and the north Midlands, to the north over Manchester up towards Cumbria, perhaps extending up into Dumfries and Galloway it should be a largely fine, dry and bright day. Even up over Scotland, while it may be cloudier, it should stay dry with just an odd shower here and there.

As for areas south of this weakend and stalled front, sunshine should begin filtering through but with a lot of energy following in the wake of those overnight rains, warming of the surface with that sunshine and temps boosting 20/21C, one can expect thunderstorms developing throughout thr South including Greater London. There is concern over strong thunderstorms which could dump 1-2 inches of rain within those cells causing flooding or even flash flooding so please be aware.

Improving picture for the weekend into next week

Courtesy of ECMWF

While I originally thought this weekend could be very unsettled with a lot of soaking rains around, it appears things will settle down following more heavy rains over the SE tonight into Saturday morning.

As i’ve stated all week, ridging will build in from the southwest by Sunday and should support nice warm weather across at least southern Ireland, England and Wales Monday and Tuesday but Scotland does look wet and could see quite the moisture stream pour in from the west and once you dump this stream up against the lofty hills of the NW Highlands you could see some healthy rain totals. From Manchester south to London I expect highs between 23-26C Monday through Wednesday.

Next wet system arrives later Wednesday

Courtesy of ECMWF

As warmth gets lifted into the UK, it will be helped by the next low within a new trough to the west. These troughs on the backside of ridges help excellerate the heat pump northeastwards so we will likely find the warmest temps by Wednesday afternoon, I could see 28C in London but by late Wednesday, the next batch of heavy, soaking rains arrive and this sets the scene for another unsettled late week period, sound familiar?

I’m on the road till dinner time tonight so that’s why I’ve this up early. Video later this evening…

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