>
Join The Conversation!
TODAY’S LONG RANGE VIDEO IS NOW AVAILABLE BELOW!
In Today’s Blog
Latest Discussion On #WEATHER TALK
Lack of Southern US Winter Could Spell Another Disasterous Tornado Season Ahead & Possibly Hurricane Season
**NEW YOUTUBE VIDEOS OF TODAY’S MID-ATLANTIC SNOWFALL!
Today’s Global Weather Headlines
US Latest
Enhancment of upward motion over bringing heavier snows from Kentucky into Virginia, No snow for DC & Baltimore
In the end, the killer for locales from south of DC northwards for snow prospects was DRY AIR!
WASHINGTON DC: Sunday snow chances bleak
CAPITOL WEATHER GANG
Snow Heads Through Mid-Atlantic Sunday
THE WEATHER CHANNEL
New YouTube Videos
ACCUWEATHER.COM
Nasty Day Of Severe Weather Across South On Saturday
Recap of the Severe Weather Along the Gulf Coast Saturday
ACCUWEATHER.COM
Weather Pattern Could Fuel Ala. Tornadoes
THE WEATHER CHANNEL
Europe Latest
Mild Air Returns This Week To UK & Ireland With Potentially Warmest Temps Since Nov Coming Late Week
Highs could widely top 13-15C across Interier Wales, Midland and Southern England with locally 17-18C not out of the question
It’s been another weekend of cold and snow for the UK. While last weeknd’s chill was focused on eastern and southern England with Siberian source air off Europe, this weekend, the chill, while nowhere near as severe, is Arctic source air with a northwest flow. Scotland saw the brunt of the coolest air and snow showers but those snow showers did bring over an inch to the West Midlands according to my Facebook subscribers and I am pleased with my overall forecast with snow rather than rain showers for much of the Central Belt, albeit never lay. As well as that, I stated that snow could reach as far south as the Midlands and this too occured. All in all, it wasn’t a bad forecast given the type of winter we’ve had and my dissapointing forecast.
While we take a glance out at next week, there is one thing I am confident on and that is that it’s gonna get mild yet again. More milder, dreary, wet and at times windy weather.
However, one aspect about next week which is catching my eye is the strength and position of the ridge by Friday.
Look at the 2nd chart above, notice the heights are fairly strong over southern England. Around that core centered near Britany means southwest winds in the upper levels blow from the Azores to the Midlands. There is also a surface high which is centered just to the upper high’s south according to the GFS model (see chart below) which also shows southwest winds (at the surface) blowing from near the Azores to southern England, what’s this mean? Well, southwest winds blowing at all levels of the atmosphere from a southwest direction means very mild air is coming and milder than what we’ve seen in the past few weeks. Recall back to Christmas when it got to 15C at Aboyne, Aberdeenshire? Well that was during the darkest period of winter. Now, at this late stage of winter, the sun angle is higher and that means, the solar energy reaching the surface is greater. Stronger energy penetrating the ground means, greater warming of the air right?
I believe that if we see this setup occur by late this upcoming week given what both surface and upper charts are currently showing then it’s possible somewhere over Inland Wales, South and or the Midlands of England may see widespread 13 to 15C highs and the odd spot could concievably reach 17 or 18C locally.
Here are my reasons why it could get so warm and it still be February.
Several factors should be considered and this is why I believe a 17-18C high LOCALLY is achievable 1) the ground is very dry in much of southern and eastern England and this can aid in boosting air temperatures above further if atmospheric conditions is favourable. 2) downsloping effect as winds blow over the hills and on their lee side, these winds downslope and ultimately can warm the air further through compression and so the drought conditions in place would help the downslope effect and these are two main factors along with a favourable direction of wind which could present us with the mildest air since November. After all, it was this very setup which allowed a 29C high at Gravesend, Kent back on October 1, warmest October day on record in the UK. I put this down to drought and favorable wind direction.
Australia Latest
Wild, Stormy Weather Rattles NW and SE Corners Of Australia, Quite In Between
THE EXTREMES OF THE DAY
TODAY’S US EXTREMES
COURTESY OF ACCUWEATHER
HIGH: 88° at Sanford, FL
LOW: -9° at Embarrass, MN
TODAY’S UK EXTREMES
COURTESY OF THE MET OFFICE
HIGH: 50° (9.8°C) at Cardiff Bute Park
LOW: 19° (-7.1°C) at Drumnadrochit
TODAY’S EXTREMES HERE AT MY HOUSE
HIGH: 40°
LOW: 20°
Thanks for reading.
-Mark
Recent Comments