>IRENE UPGRADED TO HURRICANE STATUS, LOOKING MORE THREATENING TO US, LONDON FACES POSSIBLE FLOODING TONIGHT, TOMORROW

Written by on August 22, 2011 in Rest of Europe with 0 Comments

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In Today’s Blog

#BRITISH ISLES-EUROPE
Strong Thunderstorms blossoming over northern France shall be moving northbound across the English Channel tonight. This means a significant, potentially flooding rain event for a large area of southern England including Greater London.

#INDIA-SUB-CONT
Latest Indian & Sub-Continental Weather By Rajesh Kapadia

#UNITED STATES
Latest on the US Weather Map

In Today’s News

BREAKING NEWS: Mark Vogan Expects Landfall of Irene as a Catagory 3 or 4 Hurricane near Mrytle Beach, South Carolina possibly Friday night

SPECIAL COVERAGE
Irene now a Catagory 1 Hurricane, track shifts north of the islands, looking likely to be a Major Threat to US Coast sometime Friday

CURRENT STATUS

PRESSURE: 988 MB
MAX WINDS: 80 MPH
MAX GUSTS: 100 MPH
DIRECTION: WNW 13 MPH

Irene has now been upgraded to catagory 1 hurricane status with maximum sustained winds currently estimated at 80 mph within the eyewall. The system crossed Puerto Rico yesterday and last evening causing damage and powerloss to some 800,000 people. Despite the typically disruptive interaction with land and even some 4,000ft high peaks in Puerto Rico, the island is small enough and Irene strong and organised enough that there was literally no effect on Irene from the crossing of the island. Interestingly, once Irene cleared Puerto Rico overnight and interacted more with the very warm western Atlantic waters the system was upgraded to a 75mph hurricane by the National Hurricane Center and now currently 80mph with pressures continuing to fall.
Next in line is Hispaniola and it’s potentially 12,000 foot peaks. This next 12 to 24 hour period is CRITICAL for US concerns as this system will either slide more westwards and therefore interact with land more and thus I would strongly believe this system would then return to tropical storm status, decay enough that it would be much less of a problem for the US, since it would likely have Cuba’s jagged landmass following the battering of Hispaniola, however, a slight turn to the west, northwest would mean less land interaction and the core would remain NORTH of the mountains of Hispaniola. If that occurs, then not only would this storm miss disruption in it’s structure but it would enter waters even warmer than now, the overall atmospheric environment would be more than conducive for rapid intensification as it slides off to the west, northwest just north of these islands. If this is the case then it would make Irene a real threat for a Major landfalling Hurricane sometime probably Friday on the Southeast US coast. Where exactly, well that’s real tough to say this far out but a lot of models suggest, near the Georgia-South Carolina border. My belief is a possible turn towards the north in the final 12 hours prior to a landfall and this may make Myrtle Beach, SC a viable prospect for landfall.
By Mark Vogan

Media Latest on Hurricane Irene
CBS NEWS
CNN
ACCUWEATHER.COM
FOX NEWS
Latest Video
In Other News
Latest on Southern Plains Heatwave/Drought 2011
BREAKING NEWS: Oklahoma City, Oklahoma has reached 100 this afternoon, setting a new record for most 100s in a year which is now 51 and counting, old record was 50 set in 1980.
***Houston also joins Oklahoma City as today tops at least 100 marking 33 days to date of 100s this summer, besting the old record of 32 set in 2008.

NEW: Relentless summer continues: another 100-degree day and another record
HOUSTON CHRONICLE

Houston forecast: Expect triple-digit highs — and a new weather record — Monday

KHOU.COM
NEWS 9
THE EXTREMES OF THE DAY
TODAY’S US EXTREMES
COURTESY OF ACCUWEATHER
HIGH: 115° at Gila Bend, AZ
LOW: 28° at Bodie State Park, CA
TODAY’S UK EXTREMES
COURTESY OF THE MET OFFICE
HIGH: 75° (23.8°C) at Cambridge Niab (Cambridgeshire)
LOW: 38° (3.5°C) at Katesbridge (Co Down)
TODAY’S EXTREMES HERE AT MY HOUSE
HIGH: 64°
LOW: 47°

Thanks for reading.

-Mark

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