>30 March, 2011

Written by on March 30, 2011 in Rest of Europe with 0 Comments

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TODAY’S TOP WEATHER STORIES
On Weather & Climate Through the Eyes of Mark Vogan

TOMORROW’S POST WILL LOOK CLOSELY AT THE POTENTIALLY MAJOR APRIL FOOLS DAY NOR’EASTER AND IT’S IMPACTS, STAY TUNED!

2011 Atlantic Hurricane Season will be more active, Have more US Landfalls
ACCUWEATHER NEWS

A snowy winter in eastern Canada
THE WEATHER NETWORK

Temperatures could reach 90s as heat wave hits L.A.
LA TIMES

Thailand braces for more rain
BBC WEATHER

Potential April Fools Day Nor’easter Thurs night into Fri, How much snow, how bad will it be?

More info and discussion on tomorrow’s post!

TODAY’S WEATHER ACROSS UK & EUROPE
By Mark Vogan

an overview of the current pattern across europe…

Southern Spain Warming nicely whilst cold struggles to retreat over Scandinavia and into western Russia


Current European 500mb geopotential for today across Europe

The drumbeat of change continues across extreme southern areas of the continent with that slow transition from winter into summer as the sub-tropical ridge begins to work it’s way northwards, leaving it’s winter position as far south as it can go and now northwest and Saharan Africa are heating up as we approach April. It’s also warming up across far southwest Europe where areas from Gibraltar, Malaga up to Seville are reaching daytime highs up to 25 or 26C. The Canary Islands to the south off the Morrocco coast, a common British holiday destination stays mild and at times warm throughout winter as a weakened sub-tropical ridge remains over the area but as that same sub-tropical high builds overhead, temps are now pushing 24 to 26C and growing warmer and warmer.

Sub-Tropical Ridge over northwest Africa pumps summer-like heat into southern Spain producing highs of 21-24C

Whilst high pressure brings sunny skies across NW Africa, far southern Spain and the western Med, there is a boundary between settled and unsettled sitting between Madrid and Paris with periods of on-off showers as well as embedded heavier showers existing from Paris up to London and this extends northeastwards across central Europe towards the Baltics.

Basically, there is a large push of Atlantic air riding up and over the sub-tropical high over North Africa and over the central and northern boundary of this strong southwest Atlantic flow with lower pressure over Ireland, rain and gusty winds blow in, funnelled in between the low off the coast of the UK and high pressure over northwest Africa/southern Spain.

Whilst it’s unsettled with periods of rains showers and sunny spells across London, a more solid cloud deck and breezier conditions can be found the further north you go

With this pattern over western Europe, there is literally no cold air, to the north, Paris remains warm and generally settled, London is also warm or at least mild with shower activity in between sunny spells. Further north and up through the Midlands, Manchester and up Glasgow, across to Edinburgh clouds are more prominant as well as rainfall. Periodic gusty winds also blow in. It appears windier conditions will be felt across Scotland tomorrow with potentially gale-force winds possible along the exposed southwest facing shores, with even gusty gale-force conditions felt for a time inland. Temperatures remain mild at around 10-11C.

Winter cold and outbreaks of snow continue to plaque Norway, Sweden and Finland as well as European Russia

Europe has an increasing temperature contrast these days as southern Spain reflects summer-like conditions with 25C highs, however with highs barely reaching freezing or only slightly above in the large cities across southern Scandinavia of Oslo, Stockholm, Helsinki and over to Moscow, it would seem winter doesn’t want to let go of this region. That same push of Atlantic air that’s providing the unsettled weather across the UK and Ireland doesn’t stop once at Belgium, the Netherlands or Denmark, it freely flows across the flat fields of the Low Countries and strikes the higher, mountainous areas of northern Europe and with cold air entrenched across the region, heavy snows continue to break out.

A Warm high lay down across central Europe beneath the cold trough locked down over Scandinavia promoting highs from 12 to 18C stretching from Paris, France, Antwerp, Belgium, all the way across Germany, Poland and even as far east as Kiev, Ukraine

Yes, it would appear the cold stops once south of the Baltic Sea and beneath the cold lies a warm pool sitting over the interior and pumping warmth that the same high that’s centered from the Canaries to Libya, the warmth is cycling up and over the ridge and being shoved inbetween lower pressure up over Ireland and Scotland, so all the warmth is driving northeast and then east across the population heart of the continent.

TODAY’S WEATHER ACROSS AMERICA
From AccuWeather

Northeast Faces Heavy Snow as March Comes to a Close
By Kristina Pydynowski, Senior Meteorologist

Thunderstorms Pound Florida Wednesday Night
By Alex Sosnowski, Expert Senior Meteorologist

Flooding Shifting to Mississippi River, Upper Midwest
By Alex Sosnowski, Expert Senior Meteorologist

Chilly, Rainy First Day of Baseball
By Gina Cherundolo, AccuWeather.com Staff Writer

WEATHER TALK
By Mark Vogan

For all of last summer, the warmest at my house was 76 degrees, 89 degrees for all of UK

Have you wondered just how warm we will get this summer? Will we see much in the way of nice, sunny weather or will it be yet another washout?

Be sure to check out tomorrow’s blog post for some of my preliminary summer ideas for the UK and Europe…

Eastern US set for Major Nor’easter Thursday night, Friday morning. No true end in sight for colder, stormy pattern in east through April.

It would appear that given the overall pattern in play and the prospects of a major coastal storm this upcoming April Fools Day that summer isn’t quite round the corner for the Eastern third just yet and may not be for a while.

Despite those beautiful 70s that spread up the I-95 corridor a week past last Friday, the overall setup has been somewhat on the cool side. The winter overall has been stormy and cold and this looks set to continue through much of spring.

Unfortunately, it is looking more and more likely with quite strong cold air pooled over northern Canada and Hudson Bay that it will remain cold, perhaps near record cold come April 5-15th over the Northeast US as the northwest flow down through the Ohio Valley will continue to distribute waves of chilly air down the pipe and into the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic. The computer models suggest this as a large upper level ridge builds over the Great Basin. I wouldn’t be surprised to see not one but two, perhaps three more coastal storms ride up the East Coast before the warmth really arrives in the East for the upcoming summer season.

WHAT’S REACHING TODAY’S BLOGS?

A Break is Coming, But It Isn’t Likely to Last
Joe Lundburg, AccuWeather

Brown Declares California Drought Is Over
Ken Clark, Western Expert, AccuWeather

THE EXTREMES OF THE DAY

TODAY’S US EXTREMES
COURTESY OF ACCUWEATHER

HIGH: 92 degrees at Palm Springs, CA
LOW: -1 degrees at Embarrass, MN

TODAY’S EXTREMES HERE AT MY HOUSE

HIGH: 48 degrees
LOW: 44 degrees

Thanks for reading.
-Mark

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