>22 September, 2010

Written by on September 22, 2010 in Rest of Europe with 0 Comments

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MARK VOGAN’S US AND UK WINTER FORECAST FOR 2010-11 COMING OCT 31ST!!

Today’s Top Weather Stories
On Weather & Climate Through the Eyes of Mark Vogan
 
HURRICANE IGOR CRIPPLES NEWFOUNDLAND, BERMUDA LET OFF LIGHTLY
WAS THIS STORM ONE OF THE WORST IN NEWFOUNDLAND HISTORY?

By Mark Vogan

Not that Bermuda didn’t recieve a relatively substantial punch from Igor because it did with it’s widespread power outages, flooding and some damage to buildings, aprticularly neare the coast, however, few expected to see Igor’s effects over Newfoundland as strong as it was with 90+ mph gusts over much of eastern areas of Newfoundland as well as through St John’s. There were reports of gusts that topped 100mph with a gust of 107 mph. This brought a large area of damage throughout the eastern side of the Island and with torrential rains, we saw many roads washed out.

Igor as it appraoched Newfoundland underwent internal structure changes and this storm like I’ve pointed out not so long ago, can pack as bad, if not a wrose a punch as it recieved energy from baroclinic properties, meaning the energy of Igor was transfered into a more baroclinic low, the two combining energy properties as well as jet stream influence meant power of the mid and upper-levels was transfered down to the surface bringing those “unexpected” gusts well beyond hurricane-force. The punch Igor brought was likely some of the wrost seen in this part of Canada and certainly was equivalent to a cat 2, perhaps even cat 3 storm…

Images Courtesy of Canada.com

FLOODING
Belated End to One of New Delhi’s Wettest Monsoons
AccuWeather News
 
REVIEW
Summer 2010 in Review
AccuWeather News
 

 
Today’s Weather across America
From AccuWeather
 
I-95 Northeast Damaging Thunderstorm Threat This Evening
By Alex Sosnowski, Expert Senior Meteorologist
 
Northeast Heat to Resurge, “Fry Day” in Store
By Alex Sosnowski, Expert Senior Meteorologist
 
Fall Begins Today!
By Kirstie Hettinga, AccuWeather.com Staff Writer
 

 
Weather Talk
By Mark Vogan

Record Southeast Heat to progress into I-95 Corridor
Atlanta’s 90s to move up into New York City, Summer Ain’t Over Yet!

Yesterday’s High’s

 
Vagaries of the Weather
India & Sub-Continental Asia Weather
By Rajesh Kapadia
 
From Yesterday’s Post

The flood situation in north-west India is expected to ease in the next one/two days, before it finally starts getting better. The UAC, which was expected to fizzle out on Monday, has moved and is today located west of Delhi region is expected to move in a north-easterly direction, and weaken rapidly. The dates to watch out for in the Utteranchal/West U.P. region are between September 22 and 23, when rainfall will be heavy in that area. Delhi, Haryana, east Rajasthan, north Madhya Pradesh, west Uttar Pradesh can expect heavy to moderate spells during that time.


Two of the returning Kailash Mansarovar Yatra batches have been stranded and pilgrims had to face difficulties as heavy rains on the route blocked the way from both sides, Kumaon Mandal Vikas Nigam (KMVN) sources said.”The batch had to stay at Chausaly village for two days as the motor road towards Haldwani as well as towards Almora got blocked,” said DK Sharma, Manager (Tourism), KMVN


Meanwhile, in H.P, rain continued to lash various parts of the state. Poanta received 74 mm, Renuka 70 mm, Nahan 50.2, Jubbal 46mm, Rohru 40 mm, Solan 37 mm and Manali 27 mm. The rain also led to a dip in the temperatures with Shimla recording 11.8°C, Kalpa 6.2°C and Keylong 6.6°C.


In Haryana, at least half a dozen villages were cut off as fresh floods washed away stretches of roads and inundated large tracts of cultivated land in a dozen villages.


Nabiabad, Sayeed Chapra, Japti Chapra, Nagli and Chandrao were cut off and the district administration had to provide boats to ferry the villagers to safety. Khukni near Chandrao had been marooned. Bhiwani, Haryana received the heaviest fall of 90 mms as on Tuesday.


Delhi falling in middle of all this action was in the midst of inclement weather. The maximum temperature as on Sunday was pleasant at 23.3c (10c below normal). To the delight of Delhiites, it was only 0.2c warmer than the minimum recorded at 23.1. But the coolest in the Capital was at the University recording station, with the day’s high at 21.3c ! Dehra Dun was at a day’s maximum of 20.4c (10c below normal) on Sunday.


The (good) news is that post-September


25, the monsoon seems to be withdrawing resulting in a drastic reduction of rainfall across India and northern India in particular.The forecasted COLA 850 hpa map shows the strong anticyclone (harbinger of post monsoon conditions) pushing the weakened UAC away to the east.


The water levels in north India’s rivers should start receding from then onwards. According the Japanese Meteorological Agency (JMA), rainfall will also reduce in the two weeks after September 25.


Vagaries could safely consider the monsoon widhrawal to commence from all Rajasthan, Delhi, Punjab and Utteranchal regions from the 24th.Will be confirmed on 24th.September.


Later this week, Rajasthan and Gujarat may witness a rise in day temperatures .


In the West, on Monday,Turbat and Nawabshah in Pakistan have climbed to 41c and 40c respectively. The highest in Asia though was Makkah at 44c.


It may still be a week, after the monsoon widhraws, before we see a fall in night temperatures in Rajasthan, Punjab and Haryana.


CHECK OUT RAJESH’S BLOG IN FULL HERE, NOTE THE NEW FORMAT AND I AM ALWAYS PROUD TO SAY THAT “VAGARIES” IS OUR PARTNER BLOG AND IS ONE OF THE BEST PERSONALISED BLOGS ONLINE….

What’s Reaching Today’s Blogs?
 
Will It Ever Cool Off?
Frank Strait, AccuWeather
 
Records at Risk through Friday
Joe Lundburg, AccuWeather
 
Heat Charges, but Gets Unplugged This Weekend
Elliot Abrams, AccuWeather

The Extremes of the Day

Today’s US Extremes
Courtesy of AccuWeather

High: 105 degrees at Gila Bend, AZ
Low: 21 degrees at Lake Yellowstone, WY

Today’s UK Extremes
Courtesy of the Met Office

High: 76 degrees at Gravesend (Kent)
Low: 43 degrees at Wisley (Surrey)
 
Today’s Extremes here at my house


High: 59 degrees
Low: 54 degrees


TODAY’S COND
An overall mild night which held in the mid to upper 50s across much of the country, even over the higher ground and within the normally cooler spots such as Dalwhinnie and Aviemore. This was thanks to a mild, southwest to west oceanic flow of air which brought a band of heavy rain and thick, overcast skies, persistenting throughout much of the day, though rains eased by afternoon.

Thanks for reading.
-Mark

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